
The Obama Administration's widely touted but proven unsuccessful foreclosure rescue plan has been a complete unmitigated disaster.
NEWS TRUTH IDEAS PREDICTIONS for real estate investors from the author of Investing in Land, the most widely sold real estate book in publishing history with sales in nearly 100 countries around the world


IN the alternate universe of late-night TV infomercials, Carleton H. Sheets once reigned supreme. Standing against a backdrop of tropical seas and gently swaying palm trees, he promised that viewers, no matter how down on their luck, could soar into the ranks of the super-rich by investing in that most bubblicious of assets: real estate.
“Even if you have no money, no credit and no experience in real estate,” you, too, could achieve financial freedom, he advised in a sonorous baritone that, after mesmerizing insomniacs for several years, gained even greater purchase with viewers during the recent housing boom.
All you needed was Mr. Sheets’s real estate course, available for the low, low price of $9.95. Only five minutes left for this trial offer. Call now. “Why not make this the moment you stop dreaming?” he intoned.
The dream that Mr. Sheets dangled in front of average Joes and Janes was a hand in the game, a piece of the action. When property values began soaring in the late 1990s, so did the frequency of Mr. Sheets’s infomercials. For millions of real estate wannabes sitting in their living rooms, he embodied the bubble as much as Citigroup or Merrill Lynch did.
“He was the king of the real estate infomercial,” says Sam Catanese, chief executive of Infomercial Monitoring Service, a research firm in Philadelphia.
Today, Mr. Sheets presides over some holdings of his own that appear to be troubled, his late-night profile has greatly dimmed, and the world that he so avidly promoted — easy real estate riches — is in shambles.
Even so, he retains a loyal flock of true believers.
“If you write the truth about Carleton Sheets, you’ll make a lot of people mad,” says David L. Hancock of Burlington, N.C., a Sheets devotee who credits his mentor’s training course for his start in real estate investing.
“The truth is, some people take the information and use it and some people are simply lazy,” says Mr. Hancock, who has also appeared in Mr. Sheets’s infomercials. “It’s just like any diet or exercise book out there. They probably work, but how many people are willing to stick to them?”
Some people say it’s a little more complicated than that.
“These guys all said, ‘I’m going to teach you how to get rich in real estate, even if you have no cash, no credit, no common sense, are unwilling to make any effort or take any risk.’ That’s literally their pitch,” says John T. Reed, who has written books about real estate investing and rates real estate gurus on his Web site, www.johntreed.com.
On his site, Mr. Reed has made a sport of ripping apart Mr. Sheets’s advice and techniques.
“Sheets targets beginners. The curriculum he devised for those novices is not what I think beginners need to know,” he writes on his site. “In fact, it appears to me that the topics he chose to write about were selected to maximize Carleton Sheets’ income, not to increase the incomes of his customers. The customers that most real estate gurus go after are relatively uneducated, inexperienced and poor.”
Mr. Sheets, after a brief telephone conversation from his home in Stuart, Fla., declined to be interviewed. “I’m proud of the life that I’ve led and what I’ve helped accomplish for a lot of people,” he says. “I keep telling people that I gave them the cloth but they were the ones who made the clothes.”
The Professional Education Institute, the Burr Ridge, Ill., company that is Mr. Sheets’s longtime partner, says its offerings have always provided value.
“P.E.I. and Carleton Sheets have received thousands of letters from satisfied customers praising Carleton Sheets’s programs. Last year alone, we received over 3,000 such letters,” the company said in a statement. “All P.E.I./Carleton Sheets products/programs meet the highest standards to ensure they provide tangible benefits to their students.”
Nor, says P.E.I., is it significant that portions of Mr. Sheets’s personal portfolio may be distressed.
“It is neither surprising nor noteworthy that some of the properties owned or partially owned by Carleton Sheets may have, at least temporarily, lost some value,” the company says. “Nearly every property owner in the U.S. today has experienced at least some — if not significant — depreciation in property values.”
And it may be that Mr. Sheets, who titled his 1998 book “The World’s Greatest Wealth Builder,” remains a true believer — as he was in early 2007, when, at the peak of the housing boom, he offered wisdom to real estate novices.
“I’ve been a successful real estate investor for 35 years,” he said in an infomercial that was shown that year. “History shows real estate is the most stable and consistently profitable investment people can make.”
INFOMERCIAL-LAND has always been populated by colorful characters, who pitched real estate techniques while wearing Technicolor shirts or, offered nuggets of advice while posing on yachts, surrounded by bikini-clad women.
Mr. Sheets, 69, entered the business more quietly. Having grown up in Delaware, Ohio — his father worked for Procter & Gamble — he marketed soft-drink bottle caps in one of his early jobs, and was later director of marketing for a Florida company that was a major processor of orange juice.
In the 1970s, he started investing in property, and in the early 1980s he slogged away as a pitchman for a company that represented the real estate authority Robert G. Allen, an early advocate of the “no-money-down” path to financial success. (There are different definitions of no-money-down strategies, but they all involve someone borrowing money — from a bank or a partner — rather than using his own funds to purchase a property.)
A few decades ago, before late-night cable infomercials burst onto the scene, real estate experts ran seminars early in the morning and at night so that aspiring millionaires could attend before or after their day jobs. The opportunity to sign up for more seminars was offered at tables in the back of the room, and Mr. Sheets proved to be an avid and dedicated seminar leader.
“We traveled 47 weeks of the year,” recalls Mr. Sheets’s third wife, Sue Blair. (Mr. Sheets is now married to his fifth wife.) “We would go in and do a 90-minute talk, a 90-minute preview, where we taught investors two or three techniques out of like 40. It was a teaser session to get them to sign up for more seminars.”
Ms. Blair says Mr. Sheets was broke when she first met him and had taken up teaching real estate courses in Miami after losses on Florida property investments. Things were so bad, Ms. Blair says, that she had to lend Mr. Sheets $500 for a mortgage payment.
All of that changed in the early 1980s, when two businessmen from Chicago — Mark S. Holecek and Donald R. Strumillo — were on the lookout for a real-estate pitchman to help market products. They teamed up with Mr. Sheets, and their venture, eventually named the Professional Education Institute, grew at a decent clip, according to Ms. Blair.
But when property values began to climb in the mid- to late 1990s, demand for Mr. Sheets’s investment programs soared. And he and his partners had found the perfect avenue for courting the masses, one more potent than road shows and seminars: television.
Mr. Sheets’s backers spent an estimated $280 million running ads on cable and network television between 1993 and 2007, according to Infomercial Monitoring Service, and his infomercials were among the most frequently shown of all infomercials during the frenzied real estate boom. The industry rule of thumb is to bring in at least twice in revenue what you spend on advertising.
P.E.I., which is privately held, raked in cash. In the three years ended in August 2005, the company’s revenue totaled at least $441.3 million, according to data P.E.I. provided to the research firm Gnames Media Group. The firm said that was its most recent data available because it stopped working with P.E.I. in early 2007.
P.E.I. had commissioned sales representatives working from a Salt Lake City call center to encourage people who had already bought DVDs to cough up an additional $995 to $5,000 for phone sessions with a real estate coach.
In theory, these coaches had years of experience buying and selling properties. In practice, according to a former employee, that wasn’t always the case.
“When things got really busy during the boom, I’m sure there were people hired that were not the company’s ideal candidates,” said that former employee, Bill Cox, who worked as a real estate coach for Mr. Sheets from 2004 to 2006 and says he personally does have years of real estate investment experience. “One of the criteria was that you had to have made at least one real estate purchase. That could have been their own home. That was O.K. because many of the students were first-time home buyers themselves.”
A spokeswoman for P.E.I. said that the coaches have, on average, 15 years’ experience in real estate and that they must complete 100 hours of training each year.
When Mr. Sheets signed on with Mr. Holecek and Mr. Strumillo, he received a fairly small stake in their company, maybe as little as 10 percent initially, Ms. Blair recalls. And in the infomercial world — filled with sizzle and va-va-voom sex appeal — Mr. Sheets, who came across in demeanor as a Mr. Rogers of real estate, was an unlikely star.
Tall and slightly paunchy, Mr. Sheets typically appeared on air wearing button-down shirts (often checkered), sweaters and khaki pants. He would furrow his brows and nod sagely as he interacted with others on his infomercials, an Everyman who generously courted his viewers.
“He’s a fatherly-looking type,” says Cliff Rose, who worked at P.E.I. in the early 1990s. An infomercial producer, Timothy R. Hawthorne, puts his finger on part of the Sheets mojo: “He was kind of like someone’s favorite uncle.”
Like nearly all gurus, Mr. Sheets embroidered his infomercials with the requisite rags-to-riches tale. In one installment, as black-and-white photographs of a young Mr. Sheets flit by on the screen, he describes in a voiceover how he was fired from his Florida marketing job in the 1970s. With no money, no credit and a young family to support, he started investing in real estate. Today — ta-da! — he is a success.
That tale ended, the screen fills with attractive individuals and couples who say they were scraping by but now, thanks to Mr. Sheets, are making money hand over fist. It’s easy. If we can do it, so can you! For some, Mr. Sheets’s inspirational and motivational message became a ticket to a better life.
“I saw him on TV one Sunday morning,” recalls Mr. Hancock, who was working in newspaper advertising sales at the time. “I had seen his commercials before, but this time I ordered the program, some CDs and a manual. I was interested in the financial freedom that real estate could afford.”
Soon, Mr. Hancock was hooked. Using some of the techniques he says he learned from Mr. Sheets’s course, he bought his first property in 1996. Today, he says he owns all or part of about $25 million worth of property, much of which he bought during the real estate bubble. Which means Mr. Hancock is in debt up to his eyeballs.
“When I say I have $25 million worth of property, I’m $21 million in debt,” he says, adding that rental rates are holding up O.K. “Do I ever sleep uneasy? No, actually, I don’t.”
Mr. Sheets’s programs are geared toward novices, but his advice sometimes veers into very sophisticated territory. (One DVD spends 11 minutes explaining cash flow analysis.) Other suggestions and information are so basic they come across as almost comical.
In his book, Mr. Sheets offers negotiation techniques (“teach yourself to ask for and remember the other party’s name”); discussions of mortgages and how to use leverage (“leverage is the very nucleus of creating wealth out of thin air”); as well as definitions of real estate terms (“puffery: exaggerated praise of a product or property”).
His students were obviously willing to leap into the frenzied real estate market, but some were likely to have found themselves in way over their heads.
“In one of the exercises I would do with students, I’d say, ‘Show me that you know how to use the financial calculator and calculate mortgage payments,’ ” recalls Mr. Cox. “With some people, it was like, boom, they could do it. With others, I’d spend 30 minutes with them, telling them how to, like, push the buttons. You would feel bad for those people.”
AFTER agreeing to meet for an interview, Mr. Sheets called a few days later and rescinded the offer.
“I don’t want to subject myself to a highly critical article,” he said. “I feel good about my reputation.” He later mailed an autographed copy of his book. (“You’re a great writer and sound like a very nice person! All the best! Carleton.”)
Most of his partners aren’t eager to chat, either. When Russell J. Knowles of Port St. Lucie, Fla., who runs a medical equipment service company, was asked how he met Mr. Sheets, with whom he has invested in commercial property in Florida, he responded: “I’ve known him a long time. He’s a great guy. You keep pounding the pavement and you’ll get that story.” Then he hung up.
A call to Mr. Holecek of the Professional Education Institute went unreturned. A spokesman said he declined to be interviewed.
“You won’t hear from them,” predicts Mr. Reed, the guru-rating author. “People have been complaining about the firm for years — how they signed up for a $9.95 offer and somehow their credit card got charged $36 a month.”
The Better Business Bureau has reported hundreds of complaints like those over the years from customers of Mr. Sheets and P.E.I., many of them contending that they were overbilled and had difficulties securing refunds. A few state attorney general offices say they have received a handful of similar complaints over the years.
A spokesman for Mr. Sheets and P.E.I. says that only a tiny proportion of its customers — an average of 9 out of every 10,000 — filed complaints with the bureau or authorities over the years. “Virtually 100 percent” of the cases were successfully resolved, he added.
APPARENTLY a more nagging problem for Mr. Sheets is that he, too, seems to have been caught in the real estate implosion. In the late 1990s, Mr. Sheets and a partner, Michael Maslak, began buying numerous condos and duplexes in and around Stuart, the Florida city where Mr. Sheets has a home in a luxurious gated community.
But the homes that the partnership bought during the real estate frenzy were considerably more down-market than Mr. Sheets’s own, according to county property records and interviews. The homes have declined in value in the real estate downturn, causing Mr. Sheets to lose “a considerable amount of money” in the partnership, according to his spokesman.
Mr. Maslak said that the partnership with Mr. Sheets was being dissolved, but he declined to speak about losses it had sustained on several properties it holds.
When the days of easy money in the real estate market disappeared sometime last year, so, essentially, did Mr. Sheets. His once-ubiquitous infomercials stopped running, according to Infomercial Monitoring Service, and Mr. Sheets now maintains a much lower profile on his Web site.
Still, he says that now is a great time for individuals to invest in real estate. In a recent videocast on his Web site, he suggests that lawmakers should extend tax credits for first-time homebuyers to real estate investors, “encouraging them to become more active in the market again.” (In another, he advises viewers to make property offers in “uneven numbers to make the seller feel like you’ve really done a lot of work.”)
But with some real estate investors being blamed as having played a significant role in the housing boom and bust, it’s going to be a little harder for Mr. Sheets to woo new students.
“The infomercials are off the air completely now, and that’s strictly due to the times,” says Mike Summey, author of the “Weekend Millionaire” book series and a longtime friend of Mr. Sheets. “Real estate has been tarnished so badly in the press and so many people have lost their shirts out there buying stupidly, it just doesn’t have the luster to it that it once did.”


By RACHEL BECK
The Associated Press
Friday, December 25, 2009; 11:30 AM
NEW YORK -- The government shouldn't reward liars. But that's the effect of changes to the Obama administration's failing program to help homeowners modify their mortgages.
Until recently the rules were clear: if you grossly understated your income to qualify for the program, you had to restart the loan modification process. It made sense. After all, we got into this housing mess partly because too many people were dishonest about how much they made.
Fast forward to today. The federally funded Home Affordable Modification Program was aimed at getting banks to rework mortgages for homeowners in order to slow the pace of foreclosures. The government set a goal of modifying up to 4 million mortgages over the next three years.
The program isn't working like it's supposed to. Since March, just 31,000 homeowners have won permanent relief. One big reason why is that lenders are doing what they should have been doing all along - requiring things like proof of income.
How's the government responding? By letting homeowners who fudge their income numbers off the hook with little more than a wink and a nod.
"This isn't the kind of person the government should want to help," said Dean Baker, co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research, a left-leaning Washington think tank.
Under the $75 billion program, lenders are paid by the government to alter mortgages in hopes that cheaper loans will lead to fewer defaults. In most cases, modifications lower interest rates on home loans. Lenders also offer grace periods, longer repayment schedules or lower loan balances.
Borrowers say lenders are permitting trial modifications, but few are being made permanent. Lenders say borrowers aren't providing all the necessary paperwork to get loans permanently altered. Many lenders don't require documentation of income upfront. First, they'll make a verbal agreement with a borrower for a modification, and then verify the income once the trial period starts.
The government needs this program to work - and fast. That's the only way to explain the Treasury Department's waiver of a requirement punishing borrowers who understate their income by 25 percent or more when trying to get a modification.
That means a borrower who had told a lender he made $75,000 but was found to make $100,000 doesn't have to restart the modification process. Under the waiver announced Dec. 16, that person now gets to continue the trial period instead of being rejected immediately.
"During the housing boom, borrowers had every incentive to overstate their income to get a bigger mortgage," said Larry Doyle, who spent more than 20 years working in the mortgage business on Wall Street and now writes the financial blog Sense on Cents. "Now, they have every incentive to understate their income to get a bigger modification."
Treasury Department spokeswoman Meg Reilly says that discrepancies could be the result of mistakes or changes in someone's job or income during the trial phase. She also noted none of the eligibility, documentation and verification requirements for a permanent modification change under the new waiver.
Still, a difference in income of 25 percent or more is not a rounding error. The government should err on the side of caution with these people, not give them a free pass.
Doyle thinks that allowing dishonest borrowers to stay in the program sets a bad precedent. It also shows that lessons from the housing bust haven't been learned.
The housing market's collapse wasn't just caused by lenders issuing risky loans to borrowers who couldn't afford them. More than a third, or 4.3 million, of the home loans issued from 2004 through 2007 were for borrowers who provided no or little documentation of their income, according to real-estate data company First American CoreLogic.
When housing prices were rising, homeowners who couldn't afford their mortgages for whatever reason - lost jobs, wage cuts or a pileup of medical bills - could often sell their homes for a profit to get out of trouble.
It's a much different story today. About one in four homeowners are considered underwater, meaning their mortgage exceeds their home value.
That has led to a dramatic rise in foreclosures. About 2.2 million homes since July 2006 have completed foreclosure, according to foreclosure listing service RealtyTrac Inc.
The government knows that reducing foreclosures could go a long way toward stabilizing property values, which would help reverse the housing slump and ultimately aid the broader economic recovery.
Dishonesty fed the housing bust. Let's not let it ruin the chances for its repair.





Dec. 16 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. life insurers, a group led by MetLife Inc. and Prudential Financial Inc., may post $10 billion in losses tied to commercial real estate over the next three years, Moody’s Investors Service said.
Defaults on property loans and declines in commercial mortgage-backed securities will “dampen earnings,” the ratings firm said in a statement. The loss estimate was increased from $7 billion earlier in the year, Robert Riegel, managing director at Moody’s, said in an interview today.
Life insurers use policyholder premiums to lend to property owners and buy commercial mortgage-backed securities. MetLife, which has about $50 billion of its $338 billion portfolio in commercial property loans and CMBS, and Prudential are bracing for losses as declining real estate values and occupancy strain borrowers. Life insurers have reduced their commercial property holdings and will record fewer losses than banks, Moody’s said.
“This is one of the key areas of concern going forward,” Riegel said.
North American insurers led by American International Group Inc. have posted more than $190 billion of writedowns and unrealized losses since 2007 tied to investments including securities linked to home loans and debt issued by builders and banks. Commercial mortgage losses tend to occur after homeowner defaults, MetLife and Prudential have said.
Allianz, Sun Life
Insurers based outside the U.S. are seeking to expand in commercial property and lending, and say distressed owners and lenders may lead to opportunities. Canada’s Sun Life Financial Inc. said last month was lifting its moratorium and may invest in commercial mortgages. Allianz SE, Germany’s biggest insurer, expects to find bargains in U.S. commercial property, finance head, Paul Achleitner, said in October.
The commercial mortgage default rate on loans held by U.S. banks more than doubled to 3.4 percent in the third quarter as vacancies rose and rents declined, Real Estate Econometrics LLC said Dec. 1.
Third-quarter defaults climbed from 1.37 percent a year earlier and 2.88 percent in the second quarter, the New York- based property research firm said. Default rates in the first three quarters of 2009 have been the highest since 1993, the firm said.
Insurance companies have been more conservative than other firms in their commercial property investments because they lost money during the market decline about 20 years ago, said Jamie Woodwell, vice president of commercial real estate research for the Washington-based Mortgage Bankers Association.
Lessons Learned
“They have learned from past missteps dealing with commercial real estate,” Moody’s Senior Vice President Jeffrey Berg said in the statement. Expected losses of $10 billion will be “manageable” and are unlikely to lead to many credit downgrades, he said.
Under a worst-case scenario, which Berg considers remote, losses may exceed $40 billion, which would lead to insurers having their grades cut by multiple levels.
Commercial real estate prices may fall as much as 55 percent from October 2007’s peak, Moody’s said last month.

By Elizabeth Weintraub, About.com Guide
Bring Your Checkbook to Real Estate Seminars
Big Stock PhotoYou've likely seen their full-page ads splashed in your local newspaper. They proclaim that the magical mystery tour is coming to your town, for one day only, and one phone call can secure your reservation, but hurry because seats are limited!
These masters of real estate secrets have a secret all right to share with you. It's called:"Buy my books, CDs and tapes." Moreover, what they're not sharing with you is if you follow their advice, you might get sued or land in jail, because more than half of them make up stuff that could get an unsuspecting follower into trouble.
You see, in the late '70s, early '80s, I regrettably represented a few of these real estate gurus as their real estate broker, many of whom are still in business today. I attended national real estate conventions to witness first-hand the activity behind the scenes. Among themselves, the promoters and speakers referred to these events as "dog and pony shows."
I'm saying:
The truly dedicated and brainwashed followers will interpret my comments as heresy because these students / seminar attendees hang on every word their mentor tells them and, if given the chance, would rip the shirts off their backs to polish the ground in front of their worshipped god-like creature's feet. It's pathetic. I can't change those people's opinions, but I hope that my words will prod the rest of you to stay away these scam artists. Because they are charismatic, charming and quite believable until you scratch beneath the surface.
I swear, if P.T. Barnum were alive today, he would be a real estate seminar speaker.
Many Seminar Speakers are Unethical
One such speaker would set up real estate counseling sessions with hand-selected individuals in the audience, charging them a hefty fee for the session, in addition to representing them as a buyer's agent. He once confided that his goal was to "find out how much money is in my client's pocket and put it into my pocket." He wasn't joking.
Other speakers pre-screened audience members and placed colored dots on their name badges. This identified the financial situation of likely suspects by the seminar speaker's crew, as the various colored dots each represented a specific investment goal. For example, those with red dots might have $100,000 to invest; whereas those with blue dots might have less than $10,000 in the bank. The seminar company didn't want to waste time talking to those with the blue dots.
Seminar Gurus Fabricate and Stretch the Truth
At a luncheon one afternoon, I was seated next to a well known lawyer whom I used to respect. During the course of our conversation, I mentioned a specific method I discovered that encouraged tenants to buy real estate. Right after lunch I walked by this guy's seminar room and heard him sharing my idea with his class, claiming to have put together such a transaction himself, when in fact he had not. He lied. He could have easily told the truth, but apparently, as an officer of the court, little white lies didn't matter to him.
Another snake oil salesman often claimed that he owned property in 32 states. He repeated this statement over and over until he himself believed it, but the truth was he owned nothing. No real estate at all. But nobody ever questioned him. He's still selling real estate today.
Do the Money-Making Ideas Actually Work?
Yes. Some are feasible; some have never been executed; some are against the law. But can you tell the difference? Probably not. Can you do it? It's unlikely. The techniques are not geared toward the average investor regardless of the promises and hype. Want more information? John T. Reed maintains an excellent Web site that exposes seminar frauds.
